Johnson Service (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 146.00

JSG Stock   146.00  0.40  0.27%   
Johnson Service's future price is the expected price of Johnson Service instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Johnson Service Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Johnson Service Analysis, Johnson Service Valuation, Johnson Service Correlation, Johnson Service Hype Analysis, Johnson Service Volatility, Johnson Service Price History as well as Johnson Service Performance.
  
Please specify Johnson Service's target price for which you would like Johnson Service odds to be computed.

Johnson Service Target Price Odds to finish over 146.00

The tendency of Johnson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 146.00 90 days 146.00 
about 5.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Johnson Service to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.68 (This Johnson Service Group probability density function shows the probability of Johnson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Johnson Service has a beta of 0.36. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Johnson Service average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Johnson Service Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Johnson Service Group has an alpha of 0.1048, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Johnson Service Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Johnson Service

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Johnson Service Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
145.39146.69147.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
107.04108.34161.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
146.28147.58148.89
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.941.982.08
Details

Johnson Service Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Johnson Service is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Johnson Service's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Johnson Service Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Johnson Service within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
4.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Johnson Service Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Johnson Service for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Johnson Service Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Johnson Service Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Johnson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Johnson Service's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Johnson Service's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding418.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.5 M

Johnson Service Technical Analysis

Johnson Service's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Johnson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Johnson Service Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Johnson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Johnson Service Predictive Forecast Models

Johnson Service's time-series forecasting models is one of many Johnson Service's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Johnson Service's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Johnson Service Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Johnson Service for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Johnson Service Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Johnson Stock

Johnson Service financial ratios help investors to determine whether Johnson Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Johnson with respect to the benefits of owning Johnson Service security.