Lixil Group Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 29.49

JSGRY Stock  USD 22.67  0.19  0.83%   
Lixil Group's future price is the expected price of Lixil Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lixil Group Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lixil Group Backtesting, Lixil Group Valuation, Lixil Group Correlation, Lixil Group Hype Analysis, Lixil Group Volatility, Lixil Group History as well as Lixil Group Performance.
  
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Lixil Group Target Price Odds to finish over 29.49

The tendency of Lixil Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 29.49  or more in 90 days
 22.67 90 days 29.49 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lixil Group to move over $ 29.49  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lixil Group Corp probability density function shows the probability of Lixil Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lixil Group Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 22.67  and $ 29.49  at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lixil Group Corp has a beta of -0.27. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lixil Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lixil Group Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lixil Group Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lixil Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lixil Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lixil Group Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.3622.6723.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.8119.1224.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.6521.9623.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.6522.7822.91
Details

Lixil Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lixil Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lixil Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lixil Group Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lixil Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
1.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Lixil Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lixil Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lixil Group Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lixil Group Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Lixil Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lixil Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lixil Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lixil Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding153.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments123.5 B

Lixil Group Technical Analysis

Lixil Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lixil Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lixil Group Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lixil Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lixil Group Predictive Forecast Models

Lixil Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lixil Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lixil Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lixil Group Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lixil Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lixil Group Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lixil Group Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Lixil Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Lixil Group's price analysis, check to measure Lixil Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lixil Group is operating at the current time. Most of Lixil Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lixil Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lixil Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lixil Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.