Janus Short Term Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 3.22
| JSHSX Fund | USD 2.88 0.01 0.35% |
Janus |
Janus Short-term Target Price Odds to finish over 3.22
The tendency of Janus Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 3.22 or more in 90 days |
| 2.88 | 90 days | 3.22 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Janus Short-term to move over $ 3.22 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Janus Short Term Bond probability density function shows the probability of Janus Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Janus Short Term price to stay between its current price of $ 2.88 and $ 3.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Janus Short-term has a beta of 0.0032. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Janus Short-term average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Janus Short Term Bond will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Janus Short Term Bond has an alpha of 3.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 3.33E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Janus Short-term Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Janus Short-term
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Janus Short Term. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Janus Short-term's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Janus Short-term Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Janus Short-term is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Janus Short-term's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Janus Short Term Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Janus Short-term within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.0003 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.66 |
Janus Short-term Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Janus Short-term for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Janus Short Term can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 7.12% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Janus Short-term Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Janus Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Janus Short-term's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Janus Short-term's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Janus Short-term Technical Analysis
Janus Short-term's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Janus Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Janus Short Term Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Janus Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Janus Short-term Predictive Forecast Models
Janus Short-term's time-series forecasting models is one of many Janus Short-term's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Janus Short-term's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Janus Short Term
Checking the ongoing alerts about Janus Short-term for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Janus Short Term help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains about 7.12% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in Janus Mutual Fund
Janus Short-term financial ratios help investors to determine whether Janus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Janus with respect to the benefits of owning Janus Short-term security.
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios |