Jackson Square Smid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 19.65

JSMVX Fund  USD 19.45  0.07  0.36%   
Jackson Square's future price is the expected price of Jackson Square instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jackson Square Smid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jackson Square Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jackson Square Correlation, Jackson Square Hype Analysis, Jackson Square Volatility, Jackson Square History as well as Jackson Square Performance.
  
Please specify Jackson Square's target price for which you would like Jackson Square odds to be computed.

Jackson Square Target Price Odds to finish below 19.65

The tendency of JACKSON Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 19.65  after 90 days
 19.45 90 days 19.65 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jackson Square to stay under $ 19.65  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Jackson Square Smid Cap probability density function shows the probability of JACKSON Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jackson Square Smid price to stay between its current price of $ 19.45  and $ 19.65  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.02 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.32 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Jackson Square will likely underperform. Additionally Jackson Square Smid Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jackson Square Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jackson Square

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jackson Square Smid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jackson Square's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3119.4520.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.0519.1920.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.4919.6320.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.1518.7919.43
Details

Jackson Square Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jackson Square is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jackson Square's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jackson Square Smid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jackson Square within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.0034

Jackson Square Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jackson Square for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jackson Square Smid can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -11.0%
Jackson Square Smid retains 99.61% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Jackson Square Technical Analysis

Jackson Square's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JACKSON Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jackson Square Smid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing JACKSON Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jackson Square Predictive Forecast Models

Jackson Square's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jackson Square's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jackson Square's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jackson Square Smid

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jackson Square for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jackson Square Smid help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -11.0%
Jackson Square Smid retains 99.61% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in JACKSON Mutual Fund

Jackson Square financial ratios help investors to determine whether JACKSON Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JACKSON with respect to the benefits of owning Jackson Square security.
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