Jastrzebska Spotka (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.55
| JSW Stock | 25.52 0.01 0.04% |
Jastrzebska |
Jastrzebska Spotka Target Price Odds to finish below 25.55
The tendency of Jastrzebska Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 25.55 after 90 days |
| 25.52 | 90 days | 25.55 | about 45.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jastrzebska Spotka to stay under 25.55 after 90 days from now is about 45.42 (This Jastrzebska Spotka Weglowa probability density function shows the probability of Jastrzebska Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jastrzebska Spotka price to stay between its current price of 25.52 and 25.55 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jastrzebska Spotka Weglowa has a beta of -0.21. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jastrzebska Spotka are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jastrzebska Spotka Weglowa is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jastrzebska Spotka Weglowa has an alpha of 0.0306, implying that it can generate a 0.0306 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jastrzebska Spotka Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Jastrzebska Spotka
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jastrzebska Spotka. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jastrzebska Spotka's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jastrzebska Spotka Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jastrzebska Spotka is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jastrzebska Spotka's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jastrzebska Spotka Weglowa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jastrzebska Spotka within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Jastrzebska Spotka Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jastrzebska Spotka for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jastrzebska Spotka can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jastrzebska Spotka generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Jastrzebska Spotka Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jastrzebska Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jastrzebska Spotka's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jastrzebska Spotka's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 117.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Jastrzebska Spotka Technical Analysis
Jastrzebska Spotka's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jastrzebska Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jastrzebska Spotka Weglowa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jastrzebska Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jastrzebska Spotka Predictive Forecast Models
Jastrzebska Spotka's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jastrzebska Spotka's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jastrzebska Spotka's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jastrzebska Spotka
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jastrzebska Spotka for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jastrzebska Spotka help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jastrzebska Spotka generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Jastrzebska Stock Analysis
When running Jastrzebska Spotka's price analysis, check to measure Jastrzebska Spotka's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jastrzebska Spotka is operating at the current time. Most of Jastrzebska Spotka's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jastrzebska Spotka's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jastrzebska Spotka's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jastrzebska Spotka to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.