Jubilant Foodworks (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 644.55
| JUBLFOOD | 702.20 7.50 1.08% |
Jubilant |
Jubilant Foodworks Target Price Odds to finish below 644.55
The tendency of Jubilant Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 644.55 or more in 90 days |
| 702.20 | 90 days | 644.55 | about 56.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jubilant Foodworks to drop to 644.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 56.61 (This Jubilant Foodworks Limited probability density function shows the probability of Jubilant Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jubilant Foodworks price to stay between 644.55 and its current price of 702.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jubilant Foodworks has a beta of 0.75. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jubilant Foodworks average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jubilant Foodworks Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jubilant Foodworks Limited has an alpha of 0.0507, implying that it can generate a 0.0507 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jubilant Foodworks Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jubilant Foodworks
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jubilant Foodworks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jubilant Foodworks Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jubilant Foodworks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jubilant Foodworks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jubilant Foodworks Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jubilant Foodworks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 37.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Jubilant Foodworks Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jubilant Foodworks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jubilant Foodworks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Blue Star, Jubilant FoodWorks among 7 stocks analysts like for short term 1 PSU scrip on the list - Zee Business |
Jubilant Foodworks Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jubilant Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jubilant Foodworks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jubilant Foodworks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 660.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 B |
Jubilant Foodworks Technical Analysis
Jubilant Foodworks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jubilant Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jubilant Foodworks Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jubilant Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jubilant Foodworks Predictive Forecast Models
Jubilant Foodworks' time-series forecasting models is one of many Jubilant Foodworks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jubilant Foodworks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jubilant Foodworks
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jubilant Foodworks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jubilant Foodworks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Blue Star, Jubilant FoodWorks among 7 stocks analysts like for short term 1 PSU scrip on the list - Zee Business |
Other Information on Investing in Jubilant Stock
Jubilant Foodworks financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jubilant Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jubilant with respect to the benefits of owning Jubilant Foodworks security.