Jubilee Metals Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0675

JUBPF Stock  USD 0.05  0.01  16.67%   
Jubilee Metals' future price is the expected price of Jubilee Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jubilee Metals Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jubilee Metals Backtesting, Jubilee Metals Valuation, Jubilee Metals Correlation, Jubilee Metals Hype Analysis, Jubilee Metals Volatility, Jubilee Metals History as well as Jubilee Metals Performance.
  
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Jubilee Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0675

The tendency of Jubilee Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.07  after 90 days
 0.05 90 days 0.07 
about 68.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jubilee Metals to stay under $ 0.07  after 90 days from now is about 68.49 (This Jubilee Metals Group probability density function shows the probability of Jubilee Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jubilee Metals Group price to stay between its current price of $ 0.05  and $ 0.07  at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.39 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 3.35 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Jubilee Metals will likely underperform. Additionally Jubilee Metals Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jubilee Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jubilee Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jubilee Metals Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.056.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.056.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00080.046.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.050.060.08
Details

Jubilee Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jubilee Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jubilee Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jubilee Metals Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jubilee Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Jubilee Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jubilee Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jubilee Metals Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jubilee Metals Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jubilee Metals Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Jubilee Metals Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Jubilee Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jubilee Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jubilee Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jubilee Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.7 B

Jubilee Metals Technical Analysis

Jubilee Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jubilee Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jubilee Metals Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jubilee Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jubilee Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Jubilee Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Jubilee Metals' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jubilee Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jubilee Metals Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jubilee Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jubilee Metals Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jubilee Metals Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jubilee Metals Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Jubilee Metals Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Jubilee Pink Sheet

Jubilee Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jubilee Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jubilee with respect to the benefits of owning Jubilee Metals security.