Janus Global Unconstrained Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.95

JUCTX Fund  USD 8.96  0.01  0.11%   
Janus Global's future price is the expected price of Janus Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Janus Global Unconstrained performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Janus Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Janus Global Correlation, Janus Global Hype Analysis, Janus Global Volatility, Janus Global History as well as Janus Global Performance.
  
Please specify Janus Global's target price for which you would like Janus Global odds to be computed.

Janus Global Target Price Odds to finish over 8.95

The tendency of Janus Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 8.95  in 90 days
 8.96 90 days 8.95 
about 12.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Janus Global to stay above $ 8.95  in 90 days from now is about 12.25 (This Janus Global Unconstrained probability density function shows the probability of Janus Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Janus Global Unconst price to stay between $ 8.95  and its current price of $8.96 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Janus Global has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This indicates the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and Janus Global do not appear to be sensitive. Additionally It does not look like Janus Global's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation.
   Janus Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Janus Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Janus Global Unconst. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Janus Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.868.969.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.138.239.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.858.959.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.938.958.96
Details

Janus Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Janus Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Janus Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Janus Global Unconstrained, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Janus Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.00
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -1.01

Janus Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Janus Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Janus Global Unconst can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 20.02% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Janus Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Janus Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Janus Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Janus Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Janus Global Technical Analysis

Janus Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Janus Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Janus Global Unconstrained. In general, you should focus on analyzing Janus Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Janus Global Predictive Forecast Models

Janus Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Janus Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Janus Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Janus Global Unconst

Checking the ongoing alerts about Janus Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Janus Global Unconst help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 20.02% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Janus Mutual Fund

Janus Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Janus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Janus with respect to the benefits of owning Janus Global security.
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