Juggernaut Exploration Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0445

JUGRF Stock  USD 0.05  0.01  11.90%   
Juggernaut Exploration's future price is the expected price of Juggernaut Exploration instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Juggernaut Exploration performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Juggernaut Exploration Backtesting, Juggernaut Exploration Valuation, Juggernaut Exploration Correlation, Juggernaut Exploration Hype Analysis, Juggernaut Exploration Volatility, Juggernaut Exploration History as well as Juggernaut Exploration Performance.
  
Please specify Juggernaut Exploration's target price for which you would like Juggernaut Exploration odds to be computed.

Juggernaut Exploration Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0445

The tendency of Juggernaut Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.04  or more in 90 days
 0.05 90 days 0.04 
about 7.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Juggernaut Exploration to drop to $ 0.04  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.64 (This Juggernaut Exploration probability density function shows the probability of Juggernaut Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Juggernaut Exploration price to stay between $ 0.04  and its current price of $0.047 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Juggernaut Exploration has a beta of -1.42. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Juggernaut Exploration are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Juggernaut Exploration is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Juggernaut Exploration has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Juggernaut Exploration Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Juggernaut Exploration

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Juggernaut Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.058.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.058.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00090.048.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.050.050.05
Details

Juggernaut Exploration Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Juggernaut Exploration is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Juggernaut Exploration's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Juggernaut Exploration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Juggernaut Exploration within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Juggernaut Exploration Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Juggernaut Exploration for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Juggernaut Exploration can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Juggernaut Exploration generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Juggernaut Exploration has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Juggernaut Exploration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Juggernaut Exploration has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (138.56 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (154.47 K).
Juggernaut Exploration has accumulated about 3.73 M in cash with (817.79 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Juggernaut Exploration Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Juggernaut Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Juggernaut Exploration's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Juggernaut Exploration's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.4 M

Juggernaut Exploration Technical Analysis

Juggernaut Exploration's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Juggernaut Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Juggernaut Exploration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Juggernaut Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Juggernaut Exploration Predictive Forecast Models

Juggernaut Exploration's time-series forecasting models is one of many Juggernaut Exploration's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Juggernaut Exploration's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Juggernaut Exploration

Checking the ongoing alerts about Juggernaut Exploration for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Juggernaut Exploration help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Juggernaut Exploration generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Juggernaut Exploration has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Juggernaut Exploration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Juggernaut Exploration has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (138.56 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (154.47 K).
Juggernaut Exploration has accumulated about 3.73 M in cash with (817.79 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in Juggernaut Pink Sheet

Juggernaut Exploration financial ratios help investors to determine whether Juggernaut Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Juggernaut with respect to the benefits of owning Juggernaut Exploration security.