Japan Vietnam (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3177.5

JVC Stock   3,190  20.00  0.63%   
Japan Vietnam's future price is the expected price of Japan Vietnam instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Japan Vietnam Medical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Japan Vietnam Backtesting, Japan Vietnam Valuation, Japan Vietnam Correlation, Japan Vietnam Hype Analysis, Japan Vietnam Volatility, Japan Vietnam History as well as Japan Vietnam Performance.
  
Please specify Japan Vietnam's target price for which you would like Japan Vietnam odds to be computed.

Japan Vietnam Target Price Odds to finish over 3177.5

The tendency of Japan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  3,178  in 90 days
 3,190 90 days 3,178 
about 84.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Japan Vietnam to stay above  3,178  in 90 days from now is about 84.51 (This Japan Vietnam Medical probability density function shows the probability of Japan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Japan Vietnam Medical price to stay between  3,178  and its current price of 3190.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Japan Vietnam has a beta of 0.15. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Japan Vietnam average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Japan Vietnam Medical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Japan Vietnam Medical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Japan Vietnam Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Japan Vietnam

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Japan Vietnam Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,1893,1903,191
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,1763,1783,509
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,2593,2603,261
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,9663,2003,433
Details

Japan Vietnam Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Japan Vietnam is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Japan Vietnam's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Japan Vietnam Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Japan Vietnam within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
92.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Japan Vietnam Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Japan Vietnam for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Japan Vietnam Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Japan Vietnam generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Japan Vietnam Technical Analysis

Japan Vietnam's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Japan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Japan Vietnam Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Japan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Japan Vietnam Predictive Forecast Models

Japan Vietnam's time-series forecasting models is one of many Japan Vietnam's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Japan Vietnam's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Japan Vietnam Medical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Japan Vietnam for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Japan Vietnam Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Japan Vietnam generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Japan Stock

Japan Vietnam financial ratios help investors to determine whether Japan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Japan with respect to the benefits of owning Japan Vietnam security.