OLAM GROUP (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.81

K25 Stock   0.83  0.02  2.47%   
OLAM GROUP's future price is the expected price of OLAM GROUP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of OLAM GROUP LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out OLAM GROUP Backtesting, OLAM GROUP Valuation, OLAM GROUP Correlation, OLAM GROUP Hype Analysis, OLAM GROUP Volatility, OLAM GROUP History as well as OLAM GROUP Performance.
  
Please specify OLAM GROUP's target price for which you would like OLAM GROUP odds to be computed.

OLAM GROUP Target Price Odds to finish below 0.81

The tendency of OLAM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.81  or more in 90 days
 0.83 90 days 0.81 
over 95.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OLAM GROUP to drop to  0.81  or more in 90 days from now is over 95.53 (This OLAM GROUP LTD probability density function shows the probability of OLAM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OLAM GROUP LTD price to stay between  0.81  and its current price of 0.83 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon OLAM GROUP LTD has a beta of -0.65. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding OLAM GROUP are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, OLAM GROUP LTD is likely to outperform the market. Additionally OLAM GROUP LTD has an alpha of 0.1889, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   OLAM GROUP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OLAM GROUP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OLAM GROUP LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.833.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.673.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.813.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.780.800.83
Details

OLAM GROUP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OLAM GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OLAM GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OLAM GROUP LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OLAM GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.65
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.0077

OLAM GROUP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OLAM GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OLAM GROUP LTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OLAM GROUP LTD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

OLAM GROUP Technical Analysis

OLAM GROUP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OLAM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OLAM GROUP LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing OLAM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

OLAM GROUP Predictive Forecast Models

OLAM GROUP's time-series forecasting models is one of many OLAM GROUP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OLAM GROUP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about OLAM GROUP LTD

Checking the ongoing alerts about OLAM GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OLAM GROUP LTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OLAM GROUP LTD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in OLAM Stock

OLAM GROUP financial ratios help investors to determine whether OLAM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OLAM with respect to the benefits of owning OLAM GROUP security.