K2A Knaust (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.8

K2A-B Stock  SEK 9.50  0.30  3.26%   
K2A Knaust's future price is the expected price of K2A Knaust instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of K2A Knaust Andersson performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out K2A Knaust Backtesting, K2A Knaust Valuation, K2A Knaust Correlation, K2A Knaust Hype Analysis, K2A Knaust Volatility, K2A Knaust History as well as K2A Knaust Performance.
  
Please specify K2A Knaust's target price for which you would like K2A Knaust odds to be computed.

K2A Knaust Target Price Odds to finish over 9.8

The tendency of K2A Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 9.80  or more in 90 days
 9.50 90 days 9.80 
about 90.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of K2A Knaust to move over kr 9.80  or more in 90 days from now is about 90.84 (This K2A Knaust Andersson probability density function shows the probability of K2A Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of K2A Knaust Andersson price to stay between its current price of kr 9.50  and kr 9.80  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon K2A Knaust has a beta of 0.4. This indicates as returns on the market go up, K2A Knaust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding K2A Knaust Andersson will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally K2A Knaust Andersson has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   K2A Knaust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for K2A Knaust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as K2A Knaust Andersson. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.399.5012.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.808.9112.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.219.3312.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.3711.0413.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as K2A Knaust. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against K2A Knaust's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, K2A Knaust's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in K2A Knaust Andersson.

K2A Knaust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. K2A Knaust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the K2A Knaust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold K2A Knaust Andersson, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of K2A Knaust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
1.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

K2A Knaust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of K2A Knaust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for K2A Knaust Andersson can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
K2A Knaust Andersson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
K2A Knaust Andersson has high historical volatility and very poor performance
K2A Knaust Andersson has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
K2A Knaust Andersson has accumulated 4.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 228.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. K2A Knaust Andersson has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist K2A Knaust until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, K2A Knaust's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like K2A Knaust Andersson sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for K2A to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about K2A Knaust's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 56.0% of K2A Knaust outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

K2A Knaust Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of K2A Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential K2A Knaust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. K2A Knaust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments379.2 M

K2A Knaust Technical Analysis

K2A Knaust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. K2A Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of K2A Knaust Andersson. In general, you should focus on analyzing K2A Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

K2A Knaust Predictive Forecast Models

K2A Knaust's time-series forecasting models is one of many K2A Knaust's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary K2A Knaust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about K2A Knaust Andersson

Checking the ongoing alerts about K2A Knaust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for K2A Knaust Andersson help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
K2A Knaust Andersson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
K2A Knaust Andersson has high historical volatility and very poor performance
K2A Knaust Andersson has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
K2A Knaust Andersson has accumulated 4.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 228.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. K2A Knaust Andersson has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist K2A Knaust until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, K2A Knaust's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like K2A Knaust Andersson sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for K2A to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about K2A Knaust's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 56.0% of K2A Knaust outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for K2A Stock Analysis

When running K2A Knaust's price analysis, check to measure K2A Knaust's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy K2A Knaust is operating at the current time. Most of K2A Knaust's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of K2A Knaust's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move K2A Knaust's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of K2A Knaust to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.