KENEDIX OFFICE (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 890.0

K9R Stock  EUR 890.00  10.00  1.14%   
KENEDIX OFFICE's future price is the expected price of KENEDIX OFFICE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KENEDIX OFFICE INV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KENEDIX OFFICE Backtesting, KENEDIX OFFICE Valuation, KENEDIX OFFICE Correlation, KENEDIX OFFICE Hype Analysis, KENEDIX OFFICE Volatility, KENEDIX OFFICE History as well as KENEDIX OFFICE Performance.
  
Please specify KENEDIX OFFICE's target price for which you would like KENEDIX OFFICE odds to be computed.

KENEDIX OFFICE Target Price Odds to finish below 890.0

The tendency of KENEDIX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 890.00 90 days 890.00 
about 25.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KENEDIX OFFICE to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 25.27 (This KENEDIX OFFICE INV probability density function shows the probability of KENEDIX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon KENEDIX OFFICE has a beta of 0.0336. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KENEDIX OFFICE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KENEDIX OFFICE INV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KENEDIX OFFICE INV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   KENEDIX OFFICE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KENEDIX OFFICE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KENEDIX OFFICE INV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
888.74890.00891.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
839.23840.49979.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
900.19901.45902.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
877.24886.67896.09
Details

KENEDIX OFFICE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KENEDIX OFFICE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KENEDIX OFFICE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KENEDIX OFFICE INV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KENEDIX OFFICE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
41.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

KENEDIX OFFICE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KENEDIX OFFICE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KENEDIX OFFICE INV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KENEDIX OFFICE INV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

KENEDIX OFFICE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KENEDIX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KENEDIX OFFICE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KENEDIX OFFICE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield6.5944

KENEDIX OFFICE Technical Analysis

KENEDIX OFFICE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KENEDIX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KENEDIX OFFICE INV. In general, you should focus on analyzing KENEDIX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KENEDIX OFFICE Predictive Forecast Models

KENEDIX OFFICE's time-series forecasting models is one of many KENEDIX OFFICE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KENEDIX OFFICE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KENEDIX OFFICE INV

Checking the ongoing alerts about KENEDIX OFFICE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KENEDIX OFFICE INV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KENEDIX OFFICE INV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in KENEDIX Stock

KENEDIX OFFICE financial ratios help investors to determine whether KENEDIX Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KENEDIX with respect to the benefits of owning KENEDIX OFFICE security.