Kansai Electric Power Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 5.8

KAEPY Stock  USD 6.20  0.28  4.73%   
Kansai Electric's future price is the expected price of Kansai Electric instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kansai Electric Power performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kansai Electric Backtesting, Kansai Electric Valuation, Kansai Electric Correlation, Kansai Electric Hype Analysis, Kansai Electric Volatility, Kansai Electric History as well as Kansai Electric Performance.
  
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Kansai Electric Target Price Odds to finish over 5.8

The tendency of Kansai Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 5.80  in 90 days
 6.20 90 days 5.80 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kansai Electric to stay above $ 5.80  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Kansai Electric Power probability density function shows the probability of Kansai Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kansai Electric Power price to stay between $ 5.80  and its current price of $6.2 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kansai Electric has a beta of 0.98. This indicates Kansai Electric Power market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Kansai Electric is expected to follow. Additionally Kansai Electric Power has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kansai Electric Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kansai Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kansai Electric Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.776.2010.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.375.8010.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.215.6510.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.046.768.47
Details

Kansai Electric Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kansai Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kansai Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kansai Electric Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kansai Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.98
σ
Overall volatility
0.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Kansai Electric Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kansai Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kansai Electric Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kansai Electric generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kansai Electric has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Kansai Electric Power has accumulated 3.89 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.86, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Kansai Electric Power has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kansai Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kansai Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kansai Electric Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kansai to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kansai Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Kansai Electric Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kansai Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kansai Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kansai Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments469.1 B

Kansai Electric Technical Analysis

Kansai Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kansai Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kansai Electric Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kansai Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kansai Electric Predictive Forecast Models

Kansai Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kansai Electric's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kansai Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kansai Electric Power

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kansai Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kansai Electric Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kansai Electric generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kansai Electric has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Kansai Electric Power has accumulated 3.89 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.86, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Kansai Electric Power has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kansai Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kansai Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kansai Electric Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kansai to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kansai Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Tools for Kansai Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Kansai Electric's price analysis, check to measure Kansai Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kansai Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Kansai Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kansai Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kansai Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kansai Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.