Kamat Hotels (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 202.93
| KAMATHOTEL | 203.01 3.69 1.79% |
Kamat |
Kamat Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 202.93
The tendency of Kamat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 202.93 in 90 days |
| 203.01 | 90 days | 202.93 | about 55.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kamat Hotels to stay above 202.93 in 90 days from now is about 55.91 (This Kamat Hotels Limited probability density function shows the probability of Kamat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kamat Hotels Limited price to stay between 202.93 and its current price of 203.01 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kamat Hotels has a beta of 0.62. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kamat Hotels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kamat Hotels Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kamat Hotels Limited has an alpha of 0.0146, implying that it can generate a 0.0146 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kamat Hotels Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Kamat Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kamat Hotels Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kamat Hotels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kamat Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kamat Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kamat Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kamat Hotels Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kamat Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0071 |
Kamat Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kamat Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kamat Hotels Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kamat Hotels Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kamat Hotels Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Indo Borax Standalone September 2024 Net Sales at Rs 37.87 crore, down 19.07 percent Y-o-Y - Moneycontrol |
Kamat Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kamat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kamat Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kamat Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76.2 M |
Kamat Hotels Technical Analysis
Kamat Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kamat Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kamat Hotels Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kamat Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kamat Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Kamat Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Kamat Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kamat Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kamat Hotels Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kamat Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kamat Hotels Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kamat Hotels Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kamat Hotels Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Indo Borax Standalone September 2024 Net Sales at Rs 37.87 crore, down 19.07 percent Y-o-Y - Moneycontrol |
Other Information on Investing in Kamat Stock
Kamat Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kamat Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kamat with respect to the benefits of owning Kamat Hotels security.