KARO INVEST (Czech Republic) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 141.23
KARIN Stock | 144.00 2.00 1.41% |
KARO |
KARO INVEST Target Price Odds to finish below 141.23
The tendency of KARO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 141.23 or more in 90 days |
144.00 | 90 days | 141.23 | about 6.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KARO INVEST to drop to 141.23 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.13 (This KARO INVEST as probability density function shows the probability of KARO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KARO INVEST as price to stay between 141.23 and its current price of 144.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KARO INVEST as has a beta of -0.1. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KARO INVEST are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KARO INVEST as is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KARO INVEST as has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KARO INVEST Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for KARO INVEST
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KARO INVEST as. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KARO INVEST Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KARO INVEST is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KARO INVEST's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KARO INVEST as, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KARO INVEST within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
KARO INVEST Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KARO INVEST for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KARO INVEST as can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.KARO INVEST as generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
KARO INVEST Technical Analysis
KARO INVEST's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KARO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KARO INVEST as. In general, you should focus on analyzing KARO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KARO INVEST Predictive Forecast Models
KARO INVEST's time-series forecasting models is one of many KARO INVEST's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KARO INVEST's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KARO INVEST as
Checking the ongoing alerts about KARO INVEST for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KARO INVEST as help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KARO INVEST as generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for KARO Stock Analysis
When running KARO INVEST's price analysis, check to measure KARO INVEST's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KARO INVEST is operating at the current time. Most of KARO INVEST's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KARO INVEST's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KARO INVEST's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KARO INVEST to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.