KraneShares Electric (UK) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 15.21
| KARS Etf | 16.27 0.07 0.43% |
KraneShares |
KraneShares Electric Target Price Odds to finish over 15.21
The tendency of KraneShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 15.21 in 90 days |
| 16.27 | 90 days | 15.21 | about 70.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KraneShares Electric to stay above 15.21 in 90 days from now is about 70.39 (This KraneShares Electric Vehicles probability density function shows the probability of KraneShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KraneShares Electric price to stay between 15.21 and its current price of 16.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KraneShares Electric Vehicles has a beta of -0.0121. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KraneShares Electric are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KraneShares Electric Vehicles is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KraneShares Electric Vehicles has an alpha of 0.2234, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KraneShares Electric Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KraneShares Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KraneShares Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KraneShares Electric Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KraneShares Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KraneShares Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KraneShares Electric Vehicles, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KraneShares Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
KraneShares Electric Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KraneShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KraneShares Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KraneShares Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
KraneShares Electric Technical Analysis
KraneShares Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KraneShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KraneShares Electric Vehicles. In general, you should focus on analyzing KraneShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KraneShares Electric Predictive Forecast Models
KraneShares Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many KraneShares Electric's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KraneShares Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards KraneShares Electric in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, KraneShares Electric's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from KraneShares Electric options trading.
Check out KraneShares Electric Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KraneShares Electric Correlation, KraneShares Electric Hype Analysis, KraneShares Electric Volatility, KraneShares Electric History as well as KraneShares Electric Performance. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.