Kabelindo Murni (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 269.60
| KBLM Stock | IDR 306.00 2.00 0.65% |
Kabelindo |
Kabelindo Murni Target Price Odds to finish below 269.60
The tendency of Kabelindo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 269.60 or more in 90 days |
| 306.00 | 90 days | 269.60 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kabelindo Murni to drop to 269.60 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kabelindo Murni Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Kabelindo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kabelindo Murni Tbk price to stay between 269.60 and its current price of 306.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kabelindo Murni has a beta of 0.36. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kabelindo Murni average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kabelindo Murni Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kabelindo Murni Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kabelindo Murni Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kabelindo Murni
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kabelindo Murni Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kabelindo Murni Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kabelindo Murni is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kabelindo Murni's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kabelindo Murni Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kabelindo Murni within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Kabelindo Murni Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kabelindo Murni for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kabelindo Murni Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kabelindo Murni Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.21 T. Net Loss for the year was (13 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.85 B. | |
| Kabelindo Murni generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kabelindo Murni Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kabelindo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kabelindo Murni's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kabelindo Murni's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 62.9 B |
Kabelindo Murni Technical Analysis
Kabelindo Murni's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kabelindo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kabelindo Murni Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kabelindo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kabelindo Murni Predictive Forecast Models
Kabelindo Murni's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kabelindo Murni's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kabelindo Murni's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kabelindo Murni Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kabelindo Murni for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kabelindo Murni Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kabelindo Murni Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.21 T. Net Loss for the year was (13 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.85 B. | |
| Kabelindo Murni generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Kabelindo Stock
Kabelindo Murni financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kabelindo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kabelindo with respect to the benefits of owning Kabelindo Murni security.