Khonburi Sugar (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.05
| KBS Stock | THB 5.90 0.05 0.84% |
Khonburi |
Khonburi Sugar Target Price Odds to finish over 6.05
The tendency of Khonburi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 6.05 or more in 90 days |
| 5.90 | 90 days | 6.05 | about 44.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Khonburi Sugar to move over 6.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 44.19 (This Khonburi Sugar Public probability density function shows the probability of Khonburi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Khonburi Sugar Public price to stay between its current price of 5.90 and 6.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Khonburi Sugar Public has a beta of -0.18. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Khonburi Sugar are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Khonburi Sugar Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Khonburi Sugar Public has an alpha of 0.2824, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Khonburi Sugar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Khonburi Sugar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Khonburi Sugar Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Khonburi Sugar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Khonburi Sugar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Khonburi Sugar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Khonburi Sugar Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Khonburi Sugar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Khonburi Sugar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Khonburi Sugar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Khonburi Sugar Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Khonburi Sugar is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Khonburi Sugar appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Khonburi Sugar has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Khonburi Sugar Public has accumulated 2.31 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 174.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Khonburi Sugar Public has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Khonburi Sugar until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Khonburi Sugar's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Khonburi Sugar Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Khonburi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Khonburi Sugar's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 6.23 B. Net Loss for the year was (332.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 439.73 M. | |
| About 64.0% of Khonburi Sugar outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Khonburi Sugar Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Khonburi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Khonburi Sugar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Khonburi Sugar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 600 M |
Khonburi Sugar Technical Analysis
Khonburi Sugar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Khonburi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Khonburi Sugar Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Khonburi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Khonburi Sugar Predictive Forecast Models
Khonburi Sugar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Khonburi Sugar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Khonburi Sugar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Khonburi Sugar Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Khonburi Sugar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Khonburi Sugar Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Khonburi Sugar is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Khonburi Sugar appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Khonburi Sugar has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Khonburi Sugar Public has accumulated 2.31 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 174.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Khonburi Sugar Public has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Khonburi Sugar until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Khonburi Sugar's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Khonburi Sugar Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Khonburi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Khonburi Sugar's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 6.23 B. Net Loss for the year was (332.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 439.73 M. | |
| About 64.0% of Khonburi Sugar outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Khonburi Stock
Khonburi Sugar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Khonburi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Khonburi with respect to the benefits of owning Khonburi Sugar security.