AMA Group (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.038
| KC7 Stock | EUR 0.04 0.0005 1.30% |
AMA |
AMA Group Target Price Odds to finish below 0.038
The tendency of AMA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.04 | about 87.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMA Group to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 87.83 (This AMA Group Limited probability density function shows the probability of AMA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AMA Group has a beta of 0.14. This indicates as returns on the market go up, AMA Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AMA Group Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AMA Group Limited has an alpha of 0.4211, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AMA Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AMA Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMA Group Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AMA Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AMA Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AMA Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMA Group Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMA Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
AMA Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AMA Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMA Group Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AMA Group Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AMA Group Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| AMA Group Limited has accumulated 205.09 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.38, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. AMA Group Limited has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AMA Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AMA Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AMA Group Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AMA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AMA Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 838.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (144.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 420.76 M. | |
| AMA Group Limited has accumulated about 64.2 M in cash with (28.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
AMA Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AMA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AMA Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMA Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
AMA Group Technical Analysis
AMA Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AMA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AMA Group Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing AMA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AMA Group Predictive Forecast Models
AMA Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many AMA Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AMA Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AMA Group Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about AMA Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AMA Group Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AMA Group Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AMA Group Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| AMA Group Limited has accumulated 205.09 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.38, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. AMA Group Limited has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AMA Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AMA Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AMA Group Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AMA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AMA Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 838.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (144.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 420.76 M. | |
| AMA Group Limited has accumulated about 64.2 M in cash with (28.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Other Information on Investing in AMA Stock
AMA Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether AMA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AMA with respect to the benefits of owning AMA Group security.