Kocaer Celik (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 30.14
| KCAER Stock | 39.78 0.74 1.90% |
Kocaer |
Kocaer Celik Target Price Odds to finish below 30.14
The tendency of Kocaer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 30.14 or more in 90 days |
| 39.78 | 90 days | 30.14 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kocaer Celik to drop to 30.14 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kocaer Celik Sanayi probability density function shows the probability of Kocaer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kocaer Celik Sanayi price to stay between 30.14 and its current price of 39.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kocaer Celik has a beta of 0.76. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kocaer Celik average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kocaer Celik Sanayi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kocaer Celik Sanayi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kocaer Celik Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Kocaer Celik
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kocaer Celik Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kocaer Celik Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kocaer Celik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kocaer Celik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kocaer Celik Sanayi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kocaer Celik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Kocaer Celik Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kocaer Celik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kocaer Celik Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kocaer Celik Sanayi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kocaer Celik Technical Analysis
Kocaer Celik's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kocaer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kocaer Celik Sanayi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kocaer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kocaer Celik Predictive Forecast Models
Kocaer Celik's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kocaer Celik's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kocaer Celik's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kocaer Celik Sanayi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kocaer Celik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kocaer Celik Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kocaer Celik Sanayi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Kocaer Stock
Kocaer Celik financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kocaer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kocaer with respect to the benefits of owning Kocaer Celik security.