KC Metalsheet (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.37
| KCM Stock | THB 0.29 0.01 3.33% |
KCM |
KC Metalsheet Target Price Odds to finish below 0.37
The tendency of KCM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.37 after 90 days |
| 0.29 | 90 days | 0.37 | about 78.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KC Metalsheet to stay under 0.37 after 90 days from now is about 78.73 (This KC Metalsheet Public probability density function shows the probability of KCM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KC Metalsheet Public price to stay between its current price of 0.29 and 0.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KC Metalsheet has a beta of 0.5. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KC Metalsheet average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KC Metalsheet Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KC Metalsheet Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KC Metalsheet Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KC Metalsheet
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KC Metalsheet Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KC Metalsheet Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KC Metalsheet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KC Metalsheet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KC Metalsheet Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KC Metalsheet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
KC Metalsheet Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KC Metalsheet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KC Metalsheet Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KC Metalsheet Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| KC Metalsheet Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| KC Metalsheet Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 432 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 90.81 M. | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
KC Metalsheet Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KCM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KC Metalsheet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KC Metalsheet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 680 M |
KC Metalsheet Technical Analysis
KC Metalsheet's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KCM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KC Metalsheet Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing KCM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KC Metalsheet Predictive Forecast Models
KC Metalsheet's time-series forecasting models is one of many KC Metalsheet's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KC Metalsheet's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KC Metalsheet Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about KC Metalsheet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KC Metalsheet Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KC Metalsheet Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| KC Metalsheet Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| KC Metalsheet Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 432 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 90.81 M. | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in KCM Stock
KC Metalsheet financial ratios help investors to determine whether KCM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KCM with respect to the benefits of owning KC Metalsheet security.