KCR Residential (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.94
| KCR Stock | 8.50 0.50 5.56% |
KCR |
KCR Residential Target Price Odds to finish below 5.94
The tendency of KCR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 5.94 or more in 90 days |
| 8.50 | 90 days | 5.94 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KCR Residential to drop to 5.94 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This KCR Residential Reit probability density function shows the probability of KCR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KCR Residential Reit price to stay between 5.94 and its current price of 8.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KCR Residential Reit has a beta of -0.19. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KCR Residential are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KCR Residential Reit is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KCR Residential Reit has an alpha of 0.0189, implying that it can generate a 0.0189 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KCR Residential Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KCR Residential
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KCR Residential Reit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KCR Residential Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KCR Residential is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KCR Residential's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KCR Residential Reit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KCR Residential within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
KCR Residential Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KCR Residential for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KCR Residential Reit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KCR Residential Reit has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.32 M. | |
| KCR Residential generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
KCR Residential Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KCR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KCR Residential's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KCR Residential's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 931.6 K |
KCR Residential Technical Analysis
KCR Residential's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KCR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KCR Residential Reit. In general, you should focus on analyzing KCR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KCR Residential Predictive Forecast Models
KCR Residential's time-series forecasting models is one of many KCR Residential's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KCR Residential's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KCR Residential Reit
Checking the ongoing alerts about KCR Residential for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KCR Residential Reit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KCR Residential Reit has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.32 M. | |
| KCR Residential generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in KCR Stock
KCR Residential financial ratios help investors to determine whether KCR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KCR with respect to the benefits of owning KCR Residential security.