KINGDEE INTL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.08
| KDIC Stock | EUR 1.02 0.05 4.67% |
KINGDEE |
KINGDEE INTL Target Price Odds to finish below 1.08
The tendency of KINGDEE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 1.08 after 90 days |
| 1.02 | 90 days | 1.08 | about 84.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KINGDEE INTL to stay under € 1.08 after 90 days from now is about 84.07 (This KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA probability density function shows the probability of KINGDEE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA price to stay between its current price of € 1.02 and € 1.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.65 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, KINGDEE INTL will likely underperform. Additionally KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA has an alpha of 0.6453, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KINGDEE INTL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KINGDEE INTL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KINGDEE INTL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KINGDEE INTL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KINGDEE INTL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KINGDEE INTL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
KINGDEE INTL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KINGDEE INTL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
KINGDEE INTL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KINGDEE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KINGDEE INTL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KINGDEE INTL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.5 B | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0095 | |
| Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
KINGDEE INTL Technical Analysis
KINGDEE INTL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KINGDEE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA. In general, you should focus on analyzing KINGDEE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KINGDEE INTL Predictive Forecast Models
KINGDEE INTL's time-series forecasting models is one of many KINGDEE INTL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KINGDEE INTL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA
Checking the ongoing alerts about KINGDEE INTL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| KINGDEE INTL SOFTWA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Additional Tools for KINGDEE Stock Analysis
When running KINGDEE INTL's price analysis, check to measure KINGDEE INTL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KINGDEE INTL is operating at the current time. Most of KINGDEE INTL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KINGDEE INTL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KINGDEE INTL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KINGDEE INTL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.