Cadence Minerals (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.38

KDNC Stock   2.30  0.10  4.17%   
Cadence Minerals' future price is the expected price of Cadence Minerals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cadence Minerals PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cadence Minerals Backtesting, Cadence Minerals Valuation, Cadence Minerals Correlation, Cadence Minerals Hype Analysis, Cadence Minerals Volatility, Cadence Minerals History as well as Cadence Minerals Performance.
  
Please specify Cadence Minerals' target price for which you would like Cadence Minerals odds to be computed.

Cadence Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over 4.38

The tendency of Cadence Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4.38  or more in 90 days
 2.30 90 days 4.38 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cadence Minerals to move over  4.38  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Cadence Minerals PLC probability density function shows the probability of Cadence Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cadence Minerals PLC price to stay between its current price of  2.30  and  4.38  at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cadence Minerals has a beta of 0.0344. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Cadence Minerals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cadence Minerals PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cadence Minerals PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cadence Minerals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cadence Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cadence Minerals PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.262.344.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.004.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.262.334.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Cadence Minerals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cadence Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cadence Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cadence Minerals PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cadence Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Cadence Minerals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cadence Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cadence Minerals PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cadence Minerals PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cadence Minerals PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.02 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (4.59 M).
Cadence Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cadence Minerals notes drilling has begun at Bynoe project - Marketscreener.com

Cadence Minerals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cadence Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cadence Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cadence Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding171.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.4 M

Cadence Minerals Technical Analysis

Cadence Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cadence Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cadence Minerals PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cadence Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cadence Minerals Predictive Forecast Models

Cadence Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cadence Minerals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cadence Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cadence Minerals PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cadence Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cadence Minerals PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cadence Minerals PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cadence Minerals PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.02 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (4.59 M).
Cadence Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cadence Minerals notes drilling has begun at Bynoe project - Marketscreener.com

Additional Tools for Cadence Stock Analysis

When running Cadence Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Cadence Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cadence Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Cadence Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cadence Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cadence Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cadence Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.