Kedawung Setia (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 396.24
| KDSI Stock | IDR 438.00 18.00 4.29% |
Kedawung |
Kedawung Setia Target Price Odds to finish below 396.24
The tendency of Kedawung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 396.24 or more in 90 days |
| 438.00 | 90 days | 396.24 | about 15.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kedawung Setia to drop to 396.24 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.34 (This Kedawung Setia Industrial probability density function shows the probability of Kedawung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kedawung Setia Industrial price to stay between 396.24 and its current price of 438.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kedawung Setia has a beta of 0.44. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kedawung Setia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kedawung Setia Industrial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kedawung Setia Industrial has an alpha of 0.185, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kedawung Setia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kedawung Setia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kedawung Setia Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kedawung Setia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kedawung Setia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kedawung Setia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kedawung Setia Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kedawung Setia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 44.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Kedawung Setia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kedawung Setia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kedawung Setia Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kedawung Setia had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Kedawung Setia Industrial has accumulated about 79.8 B in cash with (62.9 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 197.04. | |
| Roughly 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kedawung Setia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kedawung Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kedawung Setia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kedawung Setia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 405 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 80.7 B |
Kedawung Setia Technical Analysis
Kedawung Setia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kedawung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kedawung Setia Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kedawung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kedawung Setia Predictive Forecast Models
Kedawung Setia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kedawung Setia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kedawung Setia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kedawung Setia Industrial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kedawung Setia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kedawung Setia Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kedawung Setia had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Kedawung Setia Industrial has accumulated about 79.8 B in cash with (62.9 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 197.04. | |
| Roughly 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Kedawung Stock
Kedawung Setia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kedawung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kedawung with respect to the benefits of owning Kedawung Setia security.