PT Puri (Indonesia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 98.98
| KDTN Stock | 110.00 5.00 4.76% |
KDTN |
PT Puri Target Price Odds to finish over 98.98
The tendency of KDTN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 98.98 in 90 days |
| 110.00 | 90 days | 98.98 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Puri to stay above 98.98 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This PT Puri Sentul probability density function shows the probability of KDTN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Puri Sentul price to stay between 98.98 and its current price of 110.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Puri Sentul has a beta of -0.68. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PT Puri are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PT Puri Sentul is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PT Puri Sentul has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. PT Puri Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PT Puri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Puri Sentul. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PT Puri Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Puri is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Puri's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Puri Sentul, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Puri within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
PT Puri Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Puri for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Puri Sentul can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PT Puri Sentul generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PT Puri Sentul has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| PT Puri generates negative cash flow from operations |
PT Puri Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KDTN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Puri's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Puri's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 8.3 B | |
| Shares Float | 200 M |
PT Puri Technical Analysis
PT Puri's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KDTN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Puri Sentul. In general, you should focus on analyzing KDTN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PT Puri Predictive Forecast Models
PT Puri's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Puri's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Puri's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PT Puri Sentul
Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Puri for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Puri Sentul help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PT Puri Sentul generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PT Puri Sentul has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| PT Puri generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in KDTN Stock
PT Puri financial ratios help investors to determine whether KDTN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KDTN with respect to the benefits of owning PT Puri security.