Keyence (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 386.39
| KEE Stock | EUR 407.10 0.20 0.05% |
Keyence |
Keyence Target Price Odds to finish below 386.39
The tendency of Keyence Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 386.39 or more in 90 days |
| 407.10 | 90 days | 386.39 | about 44.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Keyence to drop to € 386.39 or more in 90 days from now is about 44.07 (This Keyence probability density function shows the probability of Keyence Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Keyence price to stay between € 386.39 and its current price of €407.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.55 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Keyence will likely underperform. Additionally Keyence has an alpha of 0.6177, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Keyence Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Keyence
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keyence. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Keyence Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Keyence is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Keyence's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Keyence, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Keyence within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 50.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Keyence Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Keyence for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Keyence can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Keyence is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Keyence appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Keyence Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Keyence Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Keyence's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Keyence's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 242.5 M |
Keyence Technical Analysis
Keyence's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Keyence Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Keyence. In general, you should focus on analyzing Keyence Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Keyence Predictive Forecast Models
Keyence's time-series forecasting models is one of many Keyence's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Keyence's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Keyence
Checking the ongoing alerts about Keyence for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Keyence help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Keyence is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Keyence appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Keyence Stock
Keyence financial ratios help investors to determine whether Keyence Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Keyence with respect to the benefits of owning Keyence security.