Kellogg (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 46.68

KEL Stock  EUR 76.00  0.32  0.42%   
Kellogg's future price is the expected price of Kellogg instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kellogg Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kellogg Backtesting, Kellogg Valuation, Kellogg Correlation, Kellogg Hype Analysis, Kellogg Volatility, Kellogg History as well as Kellogg Performance.
  
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Kellogg Target Price Odds to finish below 46.68

The tendency of Kellogg Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 46.68  or more in 90 days
 76.00 90 days 46.68 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kellogg to drop to € 46.68  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kellogg Company probability density function shows the probability of Kellogg Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kellogg Company price to stay between € 46.68  and its current price of €76.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kellogg has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This indicates the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and Kellogg do not appear to be reactive. Additionally It does not look like Kellogg's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation.
   Kellogg Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kellogg

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kellogg Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.4676.0076.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.4074.9483.60
Details

Kellogg Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kellogg is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kellogg's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kellogg Company, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kellogg within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.00
σ
Overall volatility
1.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Kellogg Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kellogg for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kellogg Company can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kellogg Company has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Kellogg Company has accumulated 5.32 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 303.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Kellogg Company has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kellogg until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kellogg's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kellogg Company sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kellogg to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kellogg's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 88.0% of Kellogg shares are owned by institutional investors

Kellogg Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kellogg Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kellogg's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kellogg's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding341.8 M

Kellogg Technical Analysis

Kellogg's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kellogg Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kellogg Company. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kellogg Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kellogg Predictive Forecast Models

Kellogg's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kellogg's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kellogg's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kellogg Company

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kellogg for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kellogg Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kellogg Company has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Kellogg Company has accumulated 5.32 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 303.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Kellogg Company has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kellogg until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kellogg's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kellogg Company sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kellogg to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kellogg's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 88.0% of Kellogg shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Kellogg Stock

Kellogg financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kellogg Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kellogg with respect to the benefits of owning Kellogg security.