Kempower Oyj (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.57
| KEMPOWR Stock | 9.29 0.41 4.23% |
Kempower |
Kempower Oyj Target Price Odds to finish below 9.57
The tendency of Kempower Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 9.57 after 90 days |
| 9.29 | 90 days | 9.57 | about 8.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kempower Oyj to stay under 9.57 after 90 days from now is about 8.92 (This Kempower Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Kempower Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kempower Oyj price to stay between its current price of 9.29 and 9.57 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kempower Oyj has a beta of 0.67. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kempower Oyj average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kempower Oyj will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kempower Oyj has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kempower Oyj Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kempower Oyj
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kempower Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kempower Oyj Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kempower Oyj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kempower Oyj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kempower Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kempower Oyj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Kempower Oyj Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kempower Oyj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kempower Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kempower Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kempower Oyj has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 27.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.22 M. | |
| Kempower Oyj has accumulated about 90.4 M in cash with (2.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kempower Oyj Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kempower Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kempower Oyj's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kempower Oyj's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 90.4 M |
Kempower Oyj Technical Analysis
Kempower Oyj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kempower Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kempower Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kempower Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kempower Oyj Predictive Forecast Models
Kempower Oyj's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kempower Oyj's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kempower Oyj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kempower Oyj
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kempower Oyj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kempower Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kempower Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kempower Oyj has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 27.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.22 M. | |
| Kempower Oyj has accumulated about 90.4 M in cash with (2.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Kempower Stock Analysis
When running Kempower Oyj's price analysis, check to measure Kempower Oyj's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kempower Oyj is operating at the current time. Most of Kempower Oyj's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kempower Oyj's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kempower Oyj's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kempower Oyj to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.