KEBNI AB (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.1375

KEN Stock  EUR 0.08  0  2.26%   
KEBNI AB's future price is the expected price of KEBNI AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KEBNI AB SERB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KEBNI AB Backtesting, KEBNI AB Valuation, KEBNI AB Correlation, KEBNI AB Hype Analysis, KEBNI AB Volatility, KEBNI AB History as well as KEBNI AB Performance.
  
Please specify KEBNI AB's target price for which you would like KEBNI AB odds to be computed.

KEBNI AB Target Price Odds to finish over 0.1375

The tendency of KEBNI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 0.14  or more in 90 days
 0.08 90 days 0.14 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KEBNI AB to move over € 0.14  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KEBNI AB SERB probability density function shows the probability of KEBNI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KEBNI AB SERB price to stay between its current price of € 0.08  and € 0.14  at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.6 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon KEBNI AB has a beta of 0.3. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KEBNI AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KEBNI AB SERB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KEBNI AB SERB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   KEBNI AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KEBNI AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KEBNI AB SERB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.083.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.073.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.083.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.070.080.08
Details

KEBNI AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KEBNI AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KEBNI AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KEBNI AB SERB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KEBNI AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

KEBNI AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KEBNI AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KEBNI AB SERB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KEBNI AB SERB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
KEBNI AB SERB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
KEBNI AB SERB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
KEBNI AB SERB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

KEBNI AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KEBNI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KEBNI AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KEBNI AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float163.2 M

KEBNI AB Technical Analysis

KEBNI AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KEBNI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KEBNI AB SERB. In general, you should focus on analyzing KEBNI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KEBNI AB Predictive Forecast Models

KEBNI AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many KEBNI AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KEBNI AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KEBNI AB SERB

Checking the ongoing alerts about KEBNI AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KEBNI AB SERB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KEBNI AB SERB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
KEBNI AB SERB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
KEBNI AB SERB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
KEBNI AB SERB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in KEBNI Stock

KEBNI AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether KEBNI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KEBNI with respect to the benefits of owning KEBNI AB security.