Kepler Weber (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.36
| KEPL3 Stock | BRL 10.40 0.18 1.76% |
Kepler |
Kepler Weber Target Price Odds to finish over 16.36
The tendency of Kepler Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 16.36 or more in 90 days |
| 10.40 | 90 days | 16.36 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kepler Weber to move over R$ 16.36 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kepler Weber SA probability density function shows the probability of Kepler Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kepler Weber SA price to stay between its current price of R$ 10.40 and R$ 16.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kepler Weber SA has a beta of -0.0148. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kepler Weber are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kepler Weber SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kepler Weber SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kepler Weber Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kepler Weber
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kepler Weber SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kepler Weber Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kepler Weber is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kepler Weber's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kepler Weber SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kepler Weber within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Kepler Weber Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kepler Weber for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kepler Weber SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kepler Weber SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Kepler Weber Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kepler Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kepler Weber's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kepler Weber's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 131.8 M |
Kepler Weber Technical Analysis
Kepler Weber's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kepler Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kepler Weber SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kepler Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kepler Weber Predictive Forecast Models
Kepler Weber's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kepler Weber's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kepler Weber's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kepler Weber SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kepler Weber for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kepler Weber SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kepler Weber SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Kepler Stock Analysis
When running Kepler Weber's price analysis, check to measure Kepler Weber's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kepler Weber is operating at the current time. Most of Kepler Weber's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kepler Weber's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kepler Weber's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kepler Weber to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.