Kolibri Global Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.46
| KGEI Stock | 4.66 0.04 0.87% |
Kolibri |
Kolibri Global Target Price Odds to finish over 13.46
The tendency of Kolibri Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 13.46 or more in 90 days |
| 4.66 | 90 days | 13.46 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kolibri Global to move over 13.46 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Kolibri Global Energy probability density function shows the probability of Kolibri Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kolibri Global Energy price to stay between its current price of 4.66 and 13.46 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Kolibri Global Energy has a beta of -0.24. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kolibri Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kolibri Global Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kolibri Global Energy has an alpha of 0.7476, implying that it can generate a 0.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kolibri Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kolibri Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kolibri Global Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kolibri Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kolibri Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kolibri Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kolibri Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kolibri Global Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kolibri Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Kolibri Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kolibri Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kolibri Global Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kolibri Global appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Kolibri Global has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Kolibri Global Energy Inc.s Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way - Yahoo Finance |
Kolibri Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kolibri Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kolibri Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kolibri Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 M |
Kolibri Global Technical Analysis
Kolibri Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kolibri Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kolibri Global Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kolibri Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kolibri Global Predictive Forecast Models
Kolibri Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kolibri Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kolibri Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kolibri Global Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kolibri Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kolibri Global Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kolibri Global appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Kolibri Global has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Kolibri Global Energy Inc.s Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way - Yahoo Finance |
Check out Kolibri Global Backtesting, Kolibri Global Valuation, Kolibri Global Correlation, Kolibri Global Hype Analysis, Kolibri Global Volatility, Kolibri Global History as well as Kolibri Global Performance. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kolibri Global. If investors know Kolibri will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kolibri Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | Earnings Share 0.47 | Revenue Per Share 1.527 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.376 | Return On Assets 0.0695 |
The market value of Kolibri Global Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kolibri that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kolibri Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kolibri Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kolibri Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kolibri Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kolibri Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kolibri Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kolibri Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.