Kopernik Global All Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.48

KGGAX Fund  USD 12.33  0.05  0.41%   
Kopernik Global's future price is the expected price of Kopernik Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kopernik Global All Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kopernik Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Kopernik Global Correlation, Kopernik Global Hype Analysis, Kopernik Global Volatility, Kopernik Global History as well as Kopernik Global Performance.
  
Please specify Kopernik Global's target price for which you would like Kopernik Global odds to be computed.

Kopernik Global Target Price Odds to finish over 12.48

The tendency of Kopernik Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 12.48  or more in 90 days
 12.33 90 days 12.48 
about 43.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kopernik Global to move over $ 12.48  or more in 90 days from now is about 43.64 (This Kopernik Global All Cap probability density function shows the probability of Kopernik Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kopernik Global All price to stay between its current price of $ 12.33  and $ 12.48  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.36 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kopernik Global has a beta of 0.16. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kopernik Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kopernik Global All Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kopernik Global All Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kopernik Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kopernik Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kopernik Global All. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6012.3313.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6212.3513.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.8112.5413.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.2212.3012.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kopernik Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kopernik Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kopernik Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kopernik Global All.

Kopernik Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kopernik Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kopernik Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kopernik Global All Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kopernik Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Kopernik Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kopernik Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kopernik Global All can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Scotiabank Upgrades Newmont Corporation - Depositary Receipt - MSN
The fund maintains about 5.93% of its assets in cash

Kopernik Global Technical Analysis

Kopernik Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kopernik Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kopernik Global All Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kopernik Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kopernik Global Predictive Forecast Models

Kopernik Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kopernik Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kopernik Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kopernik Global All

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kopernik Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kopernik Global All help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Scotiabank Upgrades Newmont Corporation - Depositary Receipt - MSN
The fund maintains about 5.93% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Kopernik Mutual Fund

Kopernik Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kopernik Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kopernik with respect to the benefits of owning Kopernik Global security.
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