Kinetics Global Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 17.50

KGLAX Fund   17.50  0.27  1.52%   
Kinetics Global's future price is the expected price of Kinetics Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kinetics Global Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kinetics Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Kinetics Global Correlation, Kinetics Global Hype Analysis, Kinetics Global Volatility, Kinetics Global History as well as Kinetics Global Performance.
  
Please specify Kinetics Global's target price for which you would like Kinetics Global odds to be computed.

Kinetics Global Target Price Odds to finish over 17.50

The tendency of KINETICS Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.50 90 days 17.50 
roughly 2.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kinetics Global to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.11 (This Kinetics Global Fund probability density function shows the probability of KINETICS Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This indicates Kinetics Global Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Kinetics Global is expected to follow. Additionally Kinetics Global Fund has an alpha of 0.3149, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kinetics Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kinetics Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinetics Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.0917.5018.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.0118.4219.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.2617.6719.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.7116.1318.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kinetics Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kinetics Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kinetics Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kinetics Global.

Kinetics Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kinetics Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kinetics Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kinetics Global Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kinetics Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.58
Ir
Information ratio 0.23

Kinetics Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kinetics Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kinetics Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Kinetics Global Technical Analysis

Kinetics Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KINETICS Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kinetics Global Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing KINETICS Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kinetics Global Predictive Forecast Models

Kinetics Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kinetics Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kinetics Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kinetics Global

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kinetics Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kinetics Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in KINETICS Mutual Fund

Kinetics Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether KINETICS Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KINETICS with respect to the benefits of owning Kinetics Global security.
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