Kraneshares Msci China Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 19.24
| KGRN Etf | USD 22.41 0.18 0.81% |
KraneShares |
KraneShares MSCI Target Price Odds to finish below 19.24
The tendency of KraneShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 19.24 or more in 90 days |
| 22.41 | 90 days | 19.24 | about 7.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KraneShares MSCI to drop to $ 19.24 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.94 (This KraneShares MSCI China probability density function shows the probability of KraneShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KraneShares MSCI China price to stay between $ 19.24 and its current price of $22.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.57 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days KraneShares MSCI China has a beta of -0.12. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KraneShares MSCI are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KraneShares MSCI China is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KraneShares MSCI China has an alpha of 0.2445, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KraneShares MSCI Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KraneShares MSCI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KraneShares MSCI China. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KraneShares MSCI Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KraneShares MSCI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KraneShares MSCI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KraneShares MSCI China, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KraneShares MSCI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
KraneShares MSCI Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KraneShares MSCI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KraneShares MSCI China can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KraneShares MSCI had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The fund created three year return of -22.0% | |
| KraneShares MSCI China maintains 99.75% of its assets in stocks |
KraneShares MSCI Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KraneShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KraneShares MSCI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KraneShares MSCI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
KraneShares MSCI Technical Analysis
KraneShares MSCI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KraneShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KraneShares MSCI China. In general, you should focus on analyzing KraneShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KraneShares MSCI Predictive Forecast Models
KraneShares MSCI's time-series forecasting models is one of many KraneShares MSCI's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KraneShares MSCI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KraneShares MSCI China
Checking the ongoing alerts about KraneShares MSCI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KraneShares MSCI China help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KraneShares MSCI had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The fund created three year return of -22.0% | |
| KraneShares MSCI China maintains 99.75% of its assets in stocks |
Check out KraneShares MSCI Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KraneShares MSCI Correlation, KraneShares MSCI Hype Analysis, KraneShares MSCI Volatility, KraneShares MSCI History as well as KraneShares MSCI Performance. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
The market value of KraneShares MSCI China is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KraneShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KraneShares MSCI's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KraneShares MSCI's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KraneShares MSCI's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KraneShares MSCI's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KraneShares MSCI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KraneShares MSCI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KraneShares MSCI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.