Koc Holdings As Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 29.16
| KHOLY Stock | USD 25.55 1.85 6.75% |
Koc |
Koc Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 29.16
The tendency of Koc Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 29.16 or more in 90 days |
| 25.55 | 90 days | 29.16 | about 1.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Koc Holdings to move over $ 29.16 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.11 (This Koc Holdings AS probability density function shows the probability of Koc Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Koc Holdings AS price to stay between its current price of $ 25.55 and $ 29.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.44 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Koc Holdings AS has a beta of -0.45. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Koc Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Koc Holdings AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Koc Holdings AS has an alpha of 0.0016, implying that it can generate a 0.001604 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Koc Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Koc Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Koc Holdings AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Koc Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Koc Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Koc Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Koc Holdings AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Koc Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Koc Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Koc Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Koc Holdings AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Koc Holdings AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Koc Holdings AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Koc Holdings AS has accumulated 160.13 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.1, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Koc Holdings AS has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Koc Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Koc Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Koc Holdings AS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Koc to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Koc Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Koc Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Koc Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Koc Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Koc Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B |
Koc Holdings Technical Analysis
Koc Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Koc Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Koc Holdings AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Koc Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Koc Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Koc Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Koc Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Koc Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Koc Holdings AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Koc Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Koc Holdings AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Koc Holdings AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Koc Holdings AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Koc Holdings AS has accumulated 160.13 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.1, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Koc Holdings AS has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Koc Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Koc Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Koc Holdings AS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Koc to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Koc Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for Koc Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Koc Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Koc Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Koc Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Koc Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Koc Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Koc Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Koc Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.