Kimco Realty (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.71
| KIC Stock | EUR 23.20 0.20 0.85% |
Kimco |
Kimco Realty Target Price Odds to finish below 11.71
The tendency of Kimco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 11.71 or more in 90 days |
| 23.20 | 90 days | 11.71 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kimco Realty to drop to € 11.71 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kimco Realty probability density function shows the probability of Kimco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kimco Realty price to stay between € 11.71 and its current price of €23.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kimco Realty has a beta of 0.12. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kimco Realty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kimco Realty will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kimco Realty has an alpha of 0.1358, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kimco Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kimco Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kimco Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kimco Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kimco Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kimco Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kimco Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kimco Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Kimco Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kimco Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kimco Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kimco Realty has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Kimco Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kimco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kimco Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kimco Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 618.5 M |
Kimco Realty Technical Analysis
Kimco Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kimco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kimco Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kimco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kimco Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Kimco Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kimco Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kimco Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kimco Realty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kimco Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kimco Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kimco Realty has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Kimco Stock
When determining whether Kimco Realty is a strong investment it is important to analyze Kimco Realty's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Kimco Realty's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Kimco Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Kimco Realty Backtesting, Kimco Realty Valuation, Kimco Realty Correlation, Kimco Realty Hype Analysis, Kimco Realty Volatility, Kimco Realty History as well as Kimco Realty Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Kimco Stock please use our How to Invest in Kimco Realty guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.