Kindred Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 121.88

KIND-SDB  SEK 129.10  0.10  0.08%   
Kindred Group's future price is the expected price of Kindred Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kindred Group plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Please specify Kindred Group's target price for which you would like Kindred Group odds to be computed.

Kindred Group Target Price Odds to finish below 121.88

The tendency of Kindred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 121.88  or more in 90 days
 129.10 90 days 121.88 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kindred Group to drop to kr 121.88  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kindred Group plc probability density function shows the probability of Kindred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kindred Group plc price to stay between kr 121.88  and its current price of kr129.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kindred Group plc has a beta of -0.16. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kindred Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kindred Group plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kindred Group plc has an alpha of 0.0385, implying that it can generate a 0.0385 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kindred Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kindred Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kindred Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
128.76129.10129.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
121.92122.26142.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
130.12130.46130.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
127.75128.59129.43
Details

Kindred Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kindred Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kindred Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kindred Group plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kindred Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.36

Kindred Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kindred Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kindred Group plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kindred Group plc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Kindred Group plc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Kindred Group plc has accumulated 155.1 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 99.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Kindred Group plc has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kindred Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kindred Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kindred Group plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kindred to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kindred Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Kindred Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kindred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kindred Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kindred Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding227.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments194.1 M

Kindred Group Technical Analysis

Kindred Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kindred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kindred Group plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kindred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kindred Group Predictive Forecast Models

Kindred Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kindred Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kindred Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kindred Group plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kindred Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kindred Group plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kindred Group plc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Kindred Group plc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Kindred Group plc has accumulated 155.1 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 99.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Kindred Group plc has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kindred Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kindred Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kindred Group plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kindred to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kindred Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Kindred Stock

Kindred Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kindred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kindred with respect to the benefits of owning Kindred Group security.