Salient International Real Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.97
| KIRCX Fund | USD 13.03 0.11 0.85% |
Salient |
Salient International Target Price Odds to finish over 12.97
The tendency of Salient Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 12.97 in 90 days |
| 13.03 | 90 days | 12.97 | about 82.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Salient International to stay above $ 12.97 in 90 days from now is about 82.89 (This Salient International Real probability density function shows the probability of Salient Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Salient International price to stay between $ 12.97 and its current price of $13.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Salient International has a beta of 0.4. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Salient International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Salient International Real will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Salient International Real has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Salient International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Salient International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Salient International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Salient International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Salient International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Salient International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Salient International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Salient International Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Salient International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Salient International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Salient International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Salient International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Salient International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Salient International generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 5.87% of its assets in cash |
Salient International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Salient Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Salient International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Salient International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Salient International Technical Analysis
Salient International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Salient Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Salient International Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Salient Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Salient International Predictive Forecast Models
Salient International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Salient International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Salient International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Salient International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Salient International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Salient International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Salient International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Salient International generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 5.87% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Salient Mutual Fund
Salient International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Salient Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Salient with respect to the benefits of owning Salient International security.
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