KLA (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 532.64

KLA Stock  EUR 583.60  4.60  0.79%   
KLA's future price is the expected price of KLA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KLA Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KLA Backtesting, KLA Valuation, KLA Correlation, KLA Hype Analysis, KLA Volatility, KLA History as well as KLA Performance.
  
Please specify KLA's target price for which you would like KLA odds to be computed.

KLA Target Price Odds to finish below 532.64

The tendency of KLA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 532.64  or more in 90 days
 583.60 90 days 532.64 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KLA to drop to € 532.64  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KLA Corporation probability density function shows the probability of KLA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KLA Corporation price to stay between € 532.64  and its current price of €583.6 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.24 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon KLA Corporation has a beta of -0.18. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KLA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KLA Corporation is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KLA Corporation has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   KLA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KLA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KLA Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
580.60583.60586.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
520.81523.81641.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
532.64535.64538.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
541.37635.38729.39
Details

KLA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KLA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KLA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KLA Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KLA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
46.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

KLA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KLA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KLA Corporation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KLA Corporation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
KLA Corporation has high historical volatility and very poor performance
KLA Corporation has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

KLA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KLA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KLA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KLA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding142.7 M

KLA Technical Analysis

KLA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KLA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KLA Corporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing KLA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KLA Predictive Forecast Models

KLA's time-series forecasting models is one of many KLA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KLA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KLA Corporation

Checking the ongoing alerts about KLA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KLA Corporation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KLA Corporation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
KLA Corporation has high historical volatility and very poor performance
KLA Corporation has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in KLA Stock

KLA financial ratios help investors to determine whether KLA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KLA with respect to the benefits of owning KLA security.