Kindercare Learning Companies, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.52
| KLC Stock | 22.54 1.67 8.00% |
KinderCare |
KinderCare Learning Target Price Odds to finish below 18.52
The tendency of KinderCare Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 18.52 or more in 90 days |
| 22.54 | 90 days | 18.52 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KinderCare Learning to drop to 18.52 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KinderCare Learning Companies, probability density function shows the probability of KinderCare Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KinderCare Learning price to stay between 18.52 and its current price of 22.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.03 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon KinderCare Learning Companies, has a beta of -0.28. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KinderCare Learning are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KinderCare Learning Companies, is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KinderCare Learning Companies, has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KinderCare Learning Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KinderCare Learning
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KinderCare Learning. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KinderCare Learning Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KinderCare Learning is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KinderCare Learning's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KinderCare Learning Companies,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KinderCare Learning within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
KinderCare Learning Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KinderCare Learning for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KinderCare Learning can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KinderCare Learning generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KinderCare Learning has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| KinderCare Learning has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: KinderCare to Present at Morgan Stanleys Global Consumer Retail Conference |
KinderCare Learning Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KinderCare Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KinderCare Learning's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KinderCare Learning's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 156.1 M |
KinderCare Learning Technical Analysis
KinderCare Learning's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KinderCare Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KinderCare Learning Companies,. In general, you should focus on analyzing KinderCare Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KinderCare Learning Predictive Forecast Models
KinderCare Learning's time-series forecasting models is one of many KinderCare Learning's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KinderCare Learning's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KinderCare Learning
Checking the ongoing alerts about KinderCare Learning for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KinderCare Learning help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KinderCare Learning generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KinderCare Learning has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| KinderCare Learning has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: KinderCare to Present at Morgan Stanleys Global Consumer Retail Conference |
Check out KinderCare Learning Backtesting, KinderCare Learning Valuation, KinderCare Learning Correlation, KinderCare Learning Hype Analysis, KinderCare Learning Volatility, KinderCare Learning History as well as KinderCare Learning Performance. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of KinderCare Learning. If investors know KinderCare will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about KinderCare Learning listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Earnings Share 0.49 | Revenue Per Share 3.418 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.061 |
The market value of KinderCare Learning is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KinderCare that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KinderCare Learning's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KinderCare Learning's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KinderCare Learning's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KinderCare Learning's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KinderCare Learning's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KinderCare Learning is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KinderCare Learning's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.