Kindercare Learning Companies, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.23

KLC Stock   23.79  0.52  2.23%   
KinderCare Learning's future price is the expected price of KinderCare Learning instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KinderCare Learning Companies, performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KinderCare Learning Backtesting, KinderCare Learning Valuation, KinderCare Learning Correlation, KinderCare Learning Hype Analysis, KinderCare Learning Volatility, KinderCare Learning History as well as KinderCare Learning Performance.
  
At present, KinderCare Learning's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 2.01, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 5.60. Please specify KinderCare Learning's target price for which you would like KinderCare Learning odds to be computed.

KinderCare Learning Target Price Odds to finish over 25.23

The tendency of KinderCare Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  25.23  or more in 90 days
 23.79 90 days 25.23 
about 68.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KinderCare Learning to move over  25.23  or more in 90 days from now is about 68.81 (This KinderCare Learning Companies, probability density function shows the probability of KinderCare Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KinderCare Learning price to stay between its current price of  23.79  and  25.23  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.13 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon KinderCare Learning has a beta of 0.0747. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KinderCare Learning average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KinderCare Learning Companies, will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KinderCare Learning Companies, has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   KinderCare Learning Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KinderCare Learning

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KinderCare Learning. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.9923.1327.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.8526.9931.13
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.9434.0037.74
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.140.190.21
Details

KinderCare Learning Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KinderCare Learning is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KinderCare Learning's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KinderCare Learning Companies,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KinderCare Learning within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
2.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

KinderCare Learning Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KinderCare Learning for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KinderCare Learning can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KinderCare Learning generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
KinderCare Learning has high historical volatility and very poor performance
KinderCare Learning has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: KinderCare to Present at Morgan Stanleys Global Consumer Retail Conference

KinderCare Learning Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KinderCare Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KinderCare Learning's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KinderCare Learning's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding90.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments156.1 M

KinderCare Learning Technical Analysis

KinderCare Learning's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KinderCare Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KinderCare Learning Companies,. In general, you should focus on analyzing KinderCare Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KinderCare Learning Predictive Forecast Models

KinderCare Learning's time-series forecasting models is one of many KinderCare Learning's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KinderCare Learning's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KinderCare Learning

Checking the ongoing alerts about KinderCare Learning for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KinderCare Learning help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KinderCare Learning generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
KinderCare Learning has high historical volatility and very poor performance
KinderCare Learning has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: KinderCare to Present at Morgan Stanleys Global Consumer Retail Conference
When determining whether KinderCare Learning offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of KinderCare Learning's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Kindercare Learning Companies, Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Kindercare Learning Companies, Stock:
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of KinderCare Learning. If investors know KinderCare will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about KinderCare Learning listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.61)
Earnings Share
0.49
Revenue Per Share
3.418
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.061
The market value of KinderCare Learning is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KinderCare that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KinderCare Learning's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KinderCare Learning's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KinderCare Learning's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KinderCare Learning's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KinderCare Learning's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KinderCare Learning is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KinderCare Learning's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.