SK TELECOM (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.64

KMBA Stock   20.40  1.00  5.15%   
SK TELECOM's future price is the expected price of SK TELECOM instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SK TELECOM TDADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SK TELECOM Backtesting, SK TELECOM Valuation, SK TELECOM Correlation, SK TELECOM Hype Analysis, SK TELECOM Volatility, SK TELECOM History as well as SK TELECOM Performance.
  
Please specify SK TELECOM's target price for which you would like SK TELECOM odds to be computed.

SK TELECOM Target Price Odds to finish below 17.64

The tendency of KMBA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  17.64  or more in 90 days
 20.40 90 days 17.64 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SK TELECOM to drop to  17.64  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SK TELECOM TDADR probability density function shows the probability of KMBA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SK TELECOM TDADR price to stay between  17.64  and its current price of 20.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SK TELECOM TDADR has a beta of -0.0716. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SK TELECOM are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SK TELECOM TDADR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SK TELECOM TDADR has an alpha of 0.0626, implying that it can generate a 0.0626 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SK TELECOM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SK TELECOM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SK TELECOM TDADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.9920.4022.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.6417.0522.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.6420.0522.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.1220.0721.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SK TELECOM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SK TELECOM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SK TELECOM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SK TELECOM TDADR.

SK TELECOM Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SK TELECOM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SK TELECOM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SK TELECOM TDADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SK TELECOM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

SK TELECOM Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SK TELECOM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SK TELECOM TDADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SK TELECOM TDADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

SK TELECOM Technical Analysis

SK TELECOM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KMBA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SK TELECOM TDADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing KMBA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SK TELECOM Predictive Forecast Models

SK TELECOM's time-series forecasting models is one of many SK TELECOM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SK TELECOM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SK TELECOM TDADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about SK TELECOM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SK TELECOM TDADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SK TELECOM TDADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in KMBA Stock

SK TELECOM financial ratios help investors to determine whether KMBA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KMBA with respect to the benefits of owning SK TELECOM security.