Keeley Mid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 26.66
| KMDVX Fund | USD 34.14 0.04 0.12% |
Keeley |
Keeley Mid Target Price Odds to finish over 26.66
The tendency of Keeley Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 26.66 in 90 days |
| 34.14 | 90 days | 26.66 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Keeley Mid to stay above $ 26.66 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Keeley Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Keeley Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Keeley Mid Cap price to stay between $ 26.66 and its current price of $34.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This indicates Keeley Mid Cap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Keeley Mid is expected to follow. Additionally Keeley Mid Cap has an alpha of 0.0209, implying that it can generate a 0.0209 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Keeley Mid Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Keeley Mid
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keeley Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Keeley Mid's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Keeley Mid Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Keeley Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Keeley Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Keeley Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Keeley Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Keeley Mid Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Keeley Mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Keeley Mid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Keeley Mid Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Keeley Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Keeley Mid's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Keeley Mid's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Keeley Mid Technical Analysis
Keeley Mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Keeley Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Keeley Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Keeley Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Keeley Mid Predictive Forecast Models
Keeley Mid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Keeley Mid's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Keeley Mid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Keeley Mid Cap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Keeley Mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Keeley Mid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Other Information on Investing in Keeley Mutual Fund
Keeley Mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Keeley Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Keeley with respect to the benefits of owning Keeley Mid security.
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