Killam Apartment Real Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.88
| KMP-UN Stock | CAD 18.55 0.19 1.03% |
Killam |
Killam Apartment Target Price Odds to finish below 15.88
The tendency of Killam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 15.88 or more in 90 days |
| 18.55 | 90 days | 15.88 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Killam Apartment to drop to C$ 15.88 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Killam Apartment Real probability density function shows the probability of Killam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Killam Apartment Real price to stay between C$ 15.88 and its current price of C$18.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Killam Apartment has a beta of 0.16. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Killam Apartment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Killam Apartment Real will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Killam Apartment Real has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Killam Apartment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Killam Apartment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Killam Apartment Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Killam Apartment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Killam Apartment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Killam Apartment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Killam Apartment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Killam Apartment Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Killam Apartment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Killam Apartment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Killam Apartment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Killam Apartment Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Killam Apartment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Killam Apartment Real has accumulated 2.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.98, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Killam Apartment Real has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Killam Apartment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Killam Apartment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Killam Apartment Real sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Killam to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Killam Apartment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Killam Apartment REIT Given New C23.50 Price Target at Royal Bank of Canada - MarketBeat |
Killam Apartment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Killam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Killam Apartment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Killam Apartment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.1 M |
Killam Apartment Technical Analysis
Killam Apartment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Killam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Killam Apartment Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Killam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Killam Apartment Predictive Forecast Models
Killam Apartment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Killam Apartment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Killam Apartment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Killam Apartment Real
Checking the ongoing alerts about Killam Apartment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Killam Apartment Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Killam Apartment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Killam Apartment Real has accumulated 2.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.98, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Killam Apartment Real has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Killam Apartment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Killam Apartment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Killam Apartment Real sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Killam to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Killam Apartment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Killam Apartment REIT Given New C23.50 Price Target at Royal Bank of Canada - MarketBeat |
Other Information on Investing in Killam Stock
Killam Apartment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Killam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Killam with respect to the benefits of owning Killam Apartment security.