Kimteks Poliuretan (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.40
| KMPUR Stock | 18.80 0.09 0.48% |
Kimteks |
Kimteks Poliuretan Target Price Odds to finish below 16.40
The tendency of Kimteks Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 16.40 or more in 90 days |
| 18.80 | 90 days | 16.40 | about 9.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kimteks Poliuretan to drop to 16.40 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.86 (This Kimteks Poliuretan Sanayi probability density function shows the probability of Kimteks Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kimteks Poliuretan Sanayi price to stay between 16.40 and its current price of 18.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kimteks Poliuretan has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kimteks Poliuretan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kimteks Poliuretan Sanayi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kimteks Poliuretan Sanayi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kimteks Poliuretan Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Kimteks Poliuretan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kimteks Poliuretan Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kimteks Poliuretan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kimteks Poliuretan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kimteks Poliuretan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kimteks Poliuretan Sanayi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kimteks Poliuretan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Kimteks Poliuretan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kimteks Poliuretan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kimteks Poliuretan Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kimteks Poliuretan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Kimteks Poliuretan Technical Analysis
Kimteks Poliuretan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kimteks Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kimteks Poliuretan Sanayi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kimteks Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kimteks Poliuretan Predictive Forecast Models
Kimteks Poliuretan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kimteks Poliuretan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kimteks Poliuretan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kimteks Poliuretan Sanayi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kimteks Poliuretan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kimteks Poliuretan Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kimteks Poliuretan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |