Kenmare Resources (Ireland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.08
| KMR Stock | 4.28 0.06 1.42% |
Kenmare |
Kenmare Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 2.08
The tendency of Kenmare Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.08 or more in 90 days |
| 4.28 | 90 days | 2.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kenmare Resources to drop to 2.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kenmare Resources PLC probability density function shows the probability of Kenmare Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kenmare Resources PLC price to stay between 2.08 and its current price of 4.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kenmare Resources has a beta of 0.38. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kenmare Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kenmare Resources PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kenmare Resources PLC has an alpha of 0.0778, implying that it can generate a 0.0778 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kenmare Resources Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Kenmare Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kenmare Resources PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kenmare Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kenmare Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kenmare Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kenmare Resources PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kenmare Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Kenmare Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kenmare Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kenmare Resources PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Kenmare Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kenmare Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kenmare Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kenmare Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 109.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 69.1 M |
Kenmare Resources Technical Analysis
Kenmare Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kenmare Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kenmare Resources PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kenmare Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kenmare Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Kenmare Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Kenmare Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kenmare Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kenmare Resources PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kenmare Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kenmare Resources PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Kenmare Stock Analysis
When running Kenmare Resources' price analysis, check to measure Kenmare Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kenmare Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Kenmare Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kenmare Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kenmare Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kenmare Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.