Kirana Megatara (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 335.5
| KMTR Stock | IDR 330.00 8.00 2.37% |
Kirana |
Kirana Megatara Target Price Odds to finish below 335.5
The tendency of Kirana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 335.50 after 90 days |
| 330.00 | 90 days | 335.50 | about 84.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kirana Megatara to stay under 335.50 after 90 days from now is about 84.59 (This Kirana Megatara Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Kirana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kirana Megatara Tbk price to stay between its current price of 330.00 and 335.50 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kirana Megatara has a beta of 0.69. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kirana Megatara average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kirana Megatara Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kirana Megatara Tbk has an alpha of 0.3848, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kirana Megatara Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kirana Megatara
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kirana Megatara Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kirana Megatara Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kirana Megatara is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kirana Megatara's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kirana Megatara Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kirana Megatara within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 48.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Kirana Megatara Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kirana Megatara for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kirana Megatara Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kirana Megatara Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Kirana Megatara Tbk has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Kirana Megatara Tbk has accumulated about 422.01 B in cash with (411.12 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 51.37. | |
| Roughly 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kirana Megatara Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kirana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kirana Megatara's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kirana Megatara's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 387.6 B |
Kirana Megatara Technical Analysis
Kirana Megatara's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kirana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kirana Megatara Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kirana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kirana Megatara Predictive Forecast Models
Kirana Megatara's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kirana Megatara's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kirana Megatara's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kirana Megatara Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kirana Megatara for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kirana Megatara Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kirana Megatara Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Kirana Megatara Tbk has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Kirana Megatara Tbk has accumulated about 422.01 B in cash with (411.12 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 51.37. | |
| Roughly 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Kirana Stock
Kirana Megatara financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kirana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kirana with respect to the benefits of owning Kirana Megatara security.