Konica Minolta Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 9.16

KNCAY Stock  USD 9.16  0.38  4.33%   
Konica Minolta's future price is the expected price of Konica Minolta instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Konica Minolta performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Konica Minolta Backtesting, Konica Minolta Valuation, Konica Minolta Correlation, Konica Minolta Hype Analysis, Konica Minolta Volatility, Konica Minolta History as well as Konica Minolta Performance.
  
Please specify Konica Minolta's target price for which you would like Konica Minolta odds to be computed.

Konica Minolta Target Price Odds to finish below 9.16

The tendency of Konica Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 9.16 90 days 9.16 
about 87.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Konica Minolta to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 87.8 (This Konica Minolta probability density function shows the probability of Konica Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Konica Minolta has a beta of -1.12. This indicates Additionally Konica Minolta has an alpha of 0.805, implying that it can generate a 0.8 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Konica Minolta Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Konica Minolta

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Konica Minolta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.169.1612.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.288.2811.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.679.6712.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.768.2710.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Konica Minolta. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Konica Minolta's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Konica Minolta's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Konica Minolta.

Konica Minolta Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Konica Minolta is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Konica Minolta's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Konica Minolta, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Konica Minolta within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.80
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Konica Minolta Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Konica Minolta for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Konica Minolta can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Konica Minolta appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 911.43 B. Net Loss for the year was (26.12 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 392.74 B.

Konica Minolta Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Konica Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Konica Minolta's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Konica Minolta's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding493.7 M

Konica Minolta Technical Analysis

Konica Minolta's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Konica Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Konica Minolta. In general, you should focus on analyzing Konica Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Konica Minolta Predictive Forecast Models

Konica Minolta's time-series forecasting models is one of many Konica Minolta's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Konica Minolta's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Konica Minolta

Checking the ongoing alerts about Konica Minolta for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Konica Minolta help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Konica Minolta appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 911.43 B. Net Loss for the year was (26.12 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 392.74 B.

Additional Tools for Konica Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Konica Minolta's price analysis, check to measure Konica Minolta's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Konica Minolta is operating at the current time. Most of Konica Minolta's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Konica Minolta's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Konica Minolta's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Konica Minolta to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.